motion control market predicted for 5.5% cagr out to 2026

運(yùn)動(dòng)控制市場(chǎng)預(yù)計(jì)到2026年將實(shí)現(xiàn)5.5%年均增長(zhǎng)

motion control products are used in all industries, wherever precise, controlled movements are required. this diversity means that, while many industry sectors currently face an uncertain future, our predictions for the motion control market remain relatively positive for the mid-to long-term, with $19bn of sales predicted for 2026, up from $14.5bn in 2021.

運(yùn)動(dòng)控制產(chǎn)品用于所有需要精確、受控運(yùn)動(dòng)行業(yè)。這種多樣性意味著，盡管許多行業(yè)目前面臨不確定的未來(lái)，但我們對(duì)運(yùn)動(dòng)控制市場(chǎng)的中長(zhǎng)期預(yù)測(cè)仍然相對(duì)樂(lè)觀，預(yù)計(jì)2026年的銷售額為190億美元，高于2021年的145億美元。

major factors impacting growth

影響增長(zhǎng)的主要因素

the covid-19 pandemic has had both a positive and a negative effect on the motion control market. on the positive side, there was an immediate boost in apac, as many vendors in that region saw a significant expansion of markets as demand surged for the manufacture of pandemic products such as ppe and ventilators. a longer-term positive is the enhanced awareness of the need for more automation in factories and warehouses to future-proof production against further pandemics and solve the problem of labor shortages.

新冠大流行對(duì)運(yùn)動(dòng)控制市場(chǎng)同時(shí)產(chǎn)生了積極和消極的影響。從積極方面來(lái)看，亞太地區(qū)即時(shí)出現(xiàn)增長(zhǎng)，因?yàn)樵摰貐^(qū)的許多供應(yīng)商都看到了市場(chǎng)的顯著擴(kuò)張，對(duì)生產(chǎn)個(gè)人防護(hù)設(shè)備和呼吸機(jī)等流行病產(chǎn)品的需求激增。長(zhǎng)期積極的一面是人們對(duì)工廠和倉(cāng)庫(kù)需要更多自動(dòng)化的意識(shí)增強(qiáng)，以應(yīng)對(duì)未來(lái)的大流行病并解決勞動(dòng)力短缺問(wèn)題。

on the negative side, at the height of the pandemic, short-term growth was stifled by factory closures and social-distancing measures. also, suppliers found themselves focusing their efforts on production rather than rebbbbbb and development, potentially hindering future growth. digitalization – the drive to industry 4.0 and the internet of things will continue to drive motion control sales, as will the sustainability agenda, which will likely open up new markets for motion control products in new energy industries such as the wind turbine and li-ion battery sectors.

不利的一面是，在大流行最嚴(yán)重的時(shí)候，短期增長(zhǎng)被工廠關(guān)閉和社會(huì)隔離措施所扼殺。此外，供應(yīng)商發(fā)現(xiàn)自己將精力集中在生產(chǎn)而不是研發(fā)上，這可能會(huì)阻礙未來(lái)的增長(zhǎng)。數(shù)字化——工業(yè)4.0和物聯(lián)網(wǎng)的驅(qū)動(dòng)力將繼續(xù)推動(dòng)運(yùn)動(dòng)控制的銷售，可持續(xù)發(fā)展議程也將推動(dòng)風(fēng)力渦輪機(jī)和鋰離子電池等新能源行業(yè)成為運(yùn)動(dòng)控制產(chǎn)品的新市場(chǎng)。

so there is plenty to feel positive about, but let’s not forget the two big problems many industries are currently struggling with – supply issues and inflation. semiconductor shortages have slowed down the production of drives, and shortages of rare earth bbbbls and raw materials have affected motor production. meanwhile, shipping costs have spiralled, and strong inflation will almost certainly cause people to think carefully about investment in automation products.

因此，有很多值得樂(lè)觀的地方，但我們不要忘記許多行業(yè)目前正在努力解決的兩大問(wèn)題——供應(yīng)問(wèn)題和通貨膨脹。半導(dǎo)體短缺導(dǎo)致驅(qū)動(dòng)器生產(chǎn)放緩，稀土和原材料短缺影響電機(jī)生產(chǎn)。與此同時(shí)，運(yùn)輸成本呈螺旋式上升，強(qiáng)勁的通貨膨脹幾乎肯定會(huì)導(dǎo)致人們認(rèn)真考慮對(duì)自動(dòng)化產(chǎn)品的投資。

apac leads the way

亞太地區(qū)引領(lǐng)潮流

the relatively poor perbbbbance of the motion control market in 2020 led to reciprocal pressure in 2021 which inflated growth figures for that year. the post-covid rebound meant that total revenues grew from $11.9bn in 2020 to $14.5bn in 2021, representing a year-on-year market growth of 21.6%. apac, notably china with its huge manufacturing and machinery production sectors, was the main driver behind this growth, accounting for 36% of bbbbbb revenues ($5.17bn) and, not surprisingly, the region saw the highest growth – 27.4%.

2020年運(yùn)動(dòng)控制市場(chǎng)相對(duì)較差的表現(xiàn)導(dǎo)致2021年的相互壓力，從而夸大了當(dāng)年的增長(zhǎng)數(shù)據(jù)。疫情后的反彈意味著總收入從2020年的119億美元增長(zhǎng)到2021年的145億美元，市場(chǎng)同比增長(zhǎng)21.6%。亞太地區(qū)，尤其是擁有龐大制造業(yè)和機(jī)械生產(chǎn)部門的中國(guó)，是這一增長(zhǎng)的主要驅(qū)動(dòng)力，占全球收入的36%（51.7億美元），毫不奇怪，該地區(qū)的增長(zhǎng)率最高，達(dá)27.4%。

companies in the apac region seemed better able to handle supply chain issues than their counterparts in other regions. but emea wasn’t far behind, generating motion control revenues of $4.47bn, making up 31% of the bbbbbb market. the smallest region was japan, with sales worth $2.16bn, accounting for a still not insignificant 15% of the bbbbbb market. in terms of product type, servo motors led in 2021, with revenues of $6.51bn. servo drives occupied the next largest market segment, generating revenues of $5.53bn.

亞太地區(qū)的公司似乎比其他地區(qū)的同行更能處理供應(yīng)鏈問(wèn)題。但歐洲、中東和非洲也不甘落后，產(chǎn)生了44.7億美元的運(yùn)動(dòng)控制收入，占全球市場(chǎng)的31%。最小的地區(qū)是日本，銷售額為 21.6億美元，占全球市場(chǎng)的15%。在產(chǎn)品類型方面，伺服電機(jī)在2021年處于領(lǐng)先地位，收入為65.1億美元。伺服驅(qū)動(dòng)器占據(jù)第二大細(xì)分市場(chǎng)，創(chuàng)造了55.3 億美元的收入。

$19bn sales predicted for 2026; up from $14.5bn in 2021

預(yù)計(jì)2026年銷售額將達(dá)到190億美元；高于2021年的145億美元

so where is the motion control market going from here? bbbbbly, we cannot expect the high growth seen in 2021 to be sustained, but concerns about over-ordering in 2021 leading to cancellations in 2022 have not materialised so far and respectable growth 0f 8-11% is predicted for 2022. there will be a slowdown from 2023 onwards, though, as the general outlook for manufacturing and machinery production declines. however, the longer-run picture between 2021 and 2026 will still see the total bbbbbb market increase from $14.5bn to $19bn, equating to a bbbbbb cagr of 5.5%.

那么運(yùn)動(dòng)控制市場(chǎng)將何去何從？顯然，我們不能指望2021年的高增長(zhǎng)會(huì)持續(xù)下去，但對(duì) 2021年過(guò)度訂購(gòu)導(dǎo)致2022年取消的擔(dān)憂迄今尚未成為現(xiàn)實(shí)，預(yù)計(jì)2022年將實(shí)現(xiàn)8-11% 的可觀增長(zhǎng)。不過(guò)，隨著制造業(yè)和機(jī)械生產(chǎn)的總體前景下降，從2023年開(kāi)始放緩。然而，從 2021年到2026年的長(zhǎng)期情況，全球市場(chǎng)總額仍將從145億美元增加到190億美元，相當(dāng)于全球復(fù)合年增長(zhǎng)率為5.5%。

apac, where the motion control market will see a cagr of 6.6% over the forecast period, will continue to be the dominant driver. china is predicted to see its market size grow from $3.88bn in 2021 to $5.33bn in 2026, an increase of 37%. recent events have caused some uncertainty in china though. china fared well in the early onset of the pandemic, and exports of motion control products grew owing to increased demand from countries where production was disrupted by the virus. but the region’s current zero-tolerance battle with the virus means lockdowns in major port cities such as shanghai could still hold back the local and bbbbbb motion control market. the possibility of further lockdowns in china in the near future is probably the single biggest uncertainty that the motion control market currently faces.

亞太地區(qū)的運(yùn)動(dòng)控制市場(chǎng)在預(yù)測(cè)期內(nèi)的復(fù)合年增長(zhǎng)率將達(dá)到6.6%，繼續(xù)成為主要驅(qū)動(dòng)力。預(yù)計(jì)中國(guó)的市場(chǎng)規(guī)模將從2021年的38.8億美元增長(zhǎng)到2026年的53.3億美元，增長(zhǎng)37%。不過(guò)，最近的事件在中國(guó)造成了一些不確定性。中國(guó)在大流行初期表現(xiàn)良好，由于生產(chǎn)受到病毒干擾的國(guó)家的需求增加，運(yùn)動(dòng)控制產(chǎn)品的出口增長(zhǎng)。但該地區(qū)目前對(duì)病毒的零容忍政策意味著上海等主要港口城市的封鎖仍可能阻礙本地和全球運(yùn)動(dòng)控制市場(chǎng)。在不久的將來(lái)，中國(guó)進(jìn)一步封鎖的可能性可能是運(yùn)動(dòng)控制市場(chǎng)目前面臨的最大不確定性。